Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.757433 4.009237 4.280695 4.597157 4.958660 5.362101 5.851267
2025-02-16 3.314102 3.638685 4.008042 4.465990 5.028287 5.710226 6.623721
2025-02-23 2.984901 3.348132 3.778953 4.340208 5.072922 6.031120 7.447065
2025-03-02 2.687974 3.061537 3.518163 4.135662 4.981734 6.160000 8.062103
2025-03-09 2.492961 2.879474 3.365338 4.046296 5.025332 6.481721 9.080198
2025-03-16 2.300239 2.683125 3.174094 3.880374 4.933347 6.583503 9.789334
2025-03-23 2.194142 2.589007 3.107396 3.877056 5.077872 7.092993 11.512873
2025-03-30 2.088817 2.487344 3.020509 3.832908 5.150249 7.500197 13.306751
2025-04-06 1.984074 2.379051 2.915156 3.748729 5.142847 7.760330 14.974383
2025-04-13 1.876378 2.260276 2.786386 3.615684 5.032562 7.791787 16.064554
2025-04-20 1.830701 2.223858 2.772303 3.659220 5.237817 8.545149 20.505708
2025-04-27 1.793349 2.196354 2.768407 3.717528 5.479895 9.480963 27.954845
2025-05-04 1.746580 2.158208 2.753804 3.770905 5.755058 10.735440 44.829465
2025-05-11 1.696072 2.112163 2.724478 3.797684 5.990252 12.082515 87.501159
2025-05-18 1.641184 2.056818 2.677018 3.787999 6.150448 13.369631 276.485489
2025-05-25 1.570915 1.975286 2.583099 3.684594 6.078549 13.807453 2473.436902
2025-06-01 1.520775 1.921419 2.530046 3.651980 6.171530 15.047239 NaN
2025-06-08 1.458944 1.847212 2.439824 3.540628 6.050036 15.268975 NaN
2025-06-15 1.426308 1.815695 2.417242 3.557044 6.260524 17.440841 NaN
2025-06-22 1.388527 1.774524 2.376091 3.532708 6.359657 19.248586 NaN
2025-06-29 1.346392 1.724906 2.318083 3.469225 6.338115 20.332948 NaN
2025-07-06 1.298773 1.665144 2.240260 3.359538 6.165875 20.155561 NaN
2025-07-13 1.280300 1.649904 2.236880 3.402103 6.451095 24.384881 NaN